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Federal funding cuts; attacks on equity, immigrants, the rule of law, and the nation's democracy; a brand-new tax bill; and the growing usage of synthetic intelligence are simply a few of the aspects that have upended the not-for-profit world. In the middle of this turmoil, how can funders and their beneficiaries prepare for 2026 and beyond? In this unique plan, you'll speak with foundation leaders and significant donors about giving patterns in the coming year and efforts to react to Trump administration hazards.
You'll find vibrant predictions from leaders and thinkers throughout the sector about what lies ahead, including what the sector will look like 5 years from now, and how to react to what guarantees to be another extraordinary year. It's time to shed our fear and acknowledge that those who want change will stop working if the individuals closest to the money do not have the courage to bear the most risk.
Kathleen Enright, president & CEO, Council on Foundations The philanthropic sector should be clear-eyed about the challenges ahead: the pattern of targeted attacks and federal government overreach designed to stifle our most essential freedoms. John Palfrey, president, MacArthur Structure Nonprofits are addicted to the hamster wheel of fundraising, and in 2026, AI might supersize both the wheel and the dependency.
Michael McAfee, CEO, PolicyLink It's challenging to think of passage anytime soon of legislation needing greater payout rates. Bella DeVaan and Chuck Collins coordinate the Charity Reform Initiative, Institute for Policy Researches Communication is no longer background sound. It's a battleground. Matt Watkins, CEO, Watkins Public Affairs Funders will converge around pluralism, not since it's simple however due to the fact that it's important.
Dimple Abichandani, author of A Brand-new Era of Philanthropy. Lighthouse illustration by Greg Mably for The Chronicle of Philanthropy.
Findings from Church Mutual can help direct nonprofits as they navigate 2026 and changes in generational offering. In December of 2025, the "2026 Charitable Offering in America" survey was conducted by Church Mutual, taking reactions from 1,010 grownups who contribute financially to nonprofits and other charitable causes. According to a short article on the study from NonProfitPro, Church Mutual suggests numerous crucial trends within the nonprofit fundraising world, consisting of the worrying reality that donors are preparing to scale back their giving up 2026.
With that, here are 5 crucial takeaways from the Church Mutual 2026 study: The Church Mutual study found houses of worship continue to take in the lion's share of contributions. All 4 generations represented (Gen Z, millennials, Gen X, and Infant Boomers) donated mainly to places of worship, constituting 74% of charitable donations.
Organizations that have religious ties ought to highlight this connection to donors, particularly if they actively support holy places or schools. Another important finding from the survey was that donors tended to make their contributions towards the end of the year (OctoberDecember). Across the four generations, end-of-year donations made up the greatest portion, with JanuaryMarch taking 2nd location, followed by AprilJune, then JulySeptember.
Additionally, out of the four generations, Gen Z was more than likely to provide during the slowest time of the year (JulySeptember). Those who work in the not-for-profit area should keep in mind of the end-of-year increase in donations, which indicates that OctoberDecember projects such as Giving Tuesday events, matches, and so on, could bring in a fundraising windfall.
That said, "slow-down" durations should not be ignored, as the more youthful generations might still be inclined to offer even when the older ones are not. The survey includes an area that details "contribution expectations" for 2026, and it is these findings that may sound alarm bells. On the one hand, around half of donors (48%) stated they will not make any modifications to their monetary contributions, with Boomers being the group most likely to leave their charitable providing unchanged.
Millennials were recognized as the group more than likely to cut their offering, whereas Gen Z was not only identified as the group least likely to cut their giving, but also the group more than likely to increase their providing in 2026. Church Mutual has a couple of areas dedicated to the primary monetary concerns of donors, something that falls beyond the scope of this post.
One finding that nonprofits need to also know is that a majority of donors have concerns about the monetary health of the groups they support. Church Mutual discovered that 54% of donors are fretted about the financial health of the recipients of their contributions. By generation, Gen Z was the most concerned, followed by millennials and Gen X respectively, while Boomers were the least concerned.
They ought to be prepared to attend to more youthful donors' issues and be proactive in addressing any problems afflicting the company internally. Doing so might make a difference in winning over younger donors during financially uncertain times. While lower financial contributions may be uneasy for nonprofits, there might be some excellent news.
When asked if they would increase "time and effort" to assist in other methods must they reduce their financial donations, a bulk of donors indicated they would; 26% stated they were "most likely" and 32% said "rather most likely," equaling 58% of donors in general. The study suggests these responses could imply "strong capacity to transform decreased monetary providing into more volunteering, advocacy, or other non-financial support." In the face of smaller sized monetary contributions, nonprofits should lean into other channels to engage their donors.
How to Charitable Giving Shifts for 2026There are other findings from Church Mutual that were not covered in this article, such as donation methods and the leading financial top priorities of donors, and so I motivate all those in the not-for-profit space to check out the report. The findings from Church Mutual can assist assist nonprofits as they navigate 2026, specifically as Gen Z starts to take on a more prominent function in the offering world.
Sign up for the Johnson Center's email newsletter! This year marks a milestone for the Johnson Center: the tenth edition of our 11 Trends in Philanthropy report. What began in 2017 as a modest supplement to our yearly report has become an extensively checked out and talked about publication, reaching more than 100,000 readers each year.
Normally, these short articles check out new shifts or progressing movements across the field of philanthropy. For this tenth edition, nevertheless, we have taken a different method. Instead of determining a wholly brand-new set of emerging patterns, we have turned our attention backwards to reflect on the themes that have actually formed our sector over the past 10 years, and to name both enduring shifts and new advancements.
It is also an acknowledgment of the moment we find ourselves in a minute of active disturbance, that integrates both great stress and anxiety about where we are headed and terrific possibility for what could follow. Our future feels more unsure than ever, but the opportunity to produce and scale life-altering developments for our neighborhoods feels present, too.
As executive orders, legal contests, and legal disputes play out, we do not have a clear image of just how much federal financing has actually been rescinded or kept from nonprofits and neighborhoods. We do not know how many nonprofits have actually closed or will close their doors, the number of personnel have lost their jobs, or the number of neighborhoods have actually lost access to crucial services.
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